Skip to content

← Dashboard · Crypto

Updated 2 days ago

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?

Other
Log in for watchlist

58 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 58¢No 42¢

Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale

6 outcomes

Total volume

$5.6K

24h vol.

$2.5K

1w vol.

$5.6K

1m vol.

$5.6K

Liquidity

$5.3K

Bid / Ask

57¢ / 59¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

64¢

Start date

Oct 16, 2026

End date

Nov 3, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 183 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 50.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.7%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
54¢$175
52¢$85
50¢$20
49¢$90
48¢$50
47¢$41
44¢$20
43¢$40
41¢$20
40¢$4,327
Asks (sell)Size
58¢$165
60¢$47
63¢$140
94¢$10
95¢$10
96¢$8
97¢$48
98¢$80
99¢$22

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 92%Sells 8%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell42¢30
2 days agoBuy42¢30
2 days agoBuy46¢20
2 days agoSell46¢20
2 days agoBuy42¢52
2 days agoBuy58¢20
2 days agoBuy58¢20
2 days agoSell42¢12
2 days agoSell39¢22
2 days agoBuy39¢2
2 days agoBuy39¢20
2 days agoBuy57¢40
2 days agoBuy43¢40
2 days agoBuy48¢701
2 days agoBuy51¢20
2 days agoBuy51¢100
2 days agoBuy51¢20
2 days agoBuy51¢20
2 days agoBuy52¢21
2 days agoBuy52¢30
2 days agoBuy52¢50
2 days agoBuy52¢84
2 days agoBuy52¢30
2 days agoBuy52¢20
2 days agoBuy52¢31
2 days agoBuy52¢20
2 days agoBuy53¢20
2 days agoBuy53¢100
2 days agoBuy53¢20
2 days agoBuy53¢20
2 days agoBuy53¢20
2 days agoBuy53¢20
2 days agoBuy53¢35
2 days agoBuy53¢20
2 days agoBuy53¢22
2 days agoBuy47¢22
3 days agoSell47¢40
3 days agoBuy47¢28
3 days agoBuy48¢12
3 days agoBuy54¢20
3 days agoSell54¢20
3 days agoBuy38¢20
3 days agoBuy62¢20
3 days agoBuy69¢80
3 days agoSell72¢20
3 days agoBuy32¢60
3 days agoBuy34¢20
3 days agoSell34¢20
3 days agoBuy54¢20
3 days agoBuy46¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.