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Updated 22 hr. ago

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?
44 %
chance
Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale
6 outcomesTotal volume
$16.9K
24h vol.
$6.5K
1w vol.
$16.9K
1m vol.
$16.9K
Liquidity
$2K
Bid / Ask
42¢ / 45¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
43¢
Start date
Oct 16, 2026
End date
Nov 3, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 183 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 50.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.7%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 1,241 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 5 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 200 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 160 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 317 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 80 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 200 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 160 |
| 24 hr. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 20 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 56¢ | 24 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 44¢ | 24 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 56¢ | 489 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 44¢ | 384 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 45¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 55¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 54¢ | 80 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 54¢ | 80 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 53¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 53¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 52¢ | 40 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 52¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 52¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 50¢ | 60 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 50¢ | 60 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 48¢ | 489 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 49¢ | 40 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 52¢ | 60 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 52¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 52¢ | 200 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 53¢ | 168 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 47¢ | 2,033 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 53¢ | 1,032 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 53¢ | 178 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 53¢ | 823 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 47¢ | 144 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 53¢ | 144 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 47¢ | 38 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 53¢ | 33 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 54¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 56¢ | 60 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 44¢ | 60 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 56¢ | 494 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 44¢ | 494 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 56¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 44¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 54¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 46¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 54¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 46¢ | 100 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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