← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 day ago
Paris curfew by October 19?
1 %
chance
Paris curfew announced by...?
4 outcomes- October 2161 %
- October 319 %
- October 247 %
- October 191 %
Total volume
$4.6K
24h vol.
$4.5K
1w vol.
$4.6K
1m vol.
$4.6K
Liquidity
$18.3K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 2¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Oct 18, 2026
End date
Oct 20, 2026
ends in 14 hr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 562 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (13)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Buy | 99¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 1¢ | 0 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 99¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 1¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 97¢ | 14 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 3¢ | 14 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 4¢ | 42 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 96¢ | 42 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 96¢ | 58 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 4¢ | 58 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 2 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
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Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.