← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 21 hr. ago

Paris curfew by October 31?
9 %
chance
Paris curfew announced by...?
4 outcomes- October 2161 %
- October 319 %
- October 247 %
- October 191 %
Total volume
$8K
24h vol.
$7.9K
1w vol.
$8K
1m vol.
$8K
Liquidity
$44.3K
Bid / Ask
8¢ / 9¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
9¢
Start date
Oct 18, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 221 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 11 |
| 21 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 11 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 136 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 11 |
| 21 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 50 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 75 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 100 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 25 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 25 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 100 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 100 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 25 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 25 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 400 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 25 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 100 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 225 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 30 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 30 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 878 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 1 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 143 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 57 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 53 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 225 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 100 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 50 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 50 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 50 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 50 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.