← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 27 min. ago

Paris curfew by October 21?
61 %
chance
Paris curfew announced by...?
4 outcomes- October 2161 %
- October 319 %
- October 247 %
- October 191 %
Total volume
$66.5K
24h vol.
$66.8K
1w vol.
$67.4K
1m vol.
$67.4K
Liquidity
$8.9K
Bid / Ask
56¢ / 65¢
Spread 9¢
Last trade
69¢
Start date
Oct 18, 2026
End date
Oct 22, 2026
ends in 3 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 112 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 35–65% one day before resolution, 50.9% resolved YES. Their average price was 47.8%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 4 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 4 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 9 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 9 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 2 |
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 2 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 89 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 50 |
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 39 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 16 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 11 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 5 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 2 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 2 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 77 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 42 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 35 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 63 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 15 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 13 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 36 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 4 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 4 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 60 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 60 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 136 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 30 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 106 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 34 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 34 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 150 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 50 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 100 |
| 45 min. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 13 |
| 45 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 13 |
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 161 |
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 5 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 126 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 10 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 10 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 10 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 10 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 10 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 136 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 136 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 30 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 10 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 10 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 10 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 173 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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