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Updated 13 min. ago

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0 %
chance
Largest Company end of December 2026?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$959.1K
24h vol.
$5.7K
1w vol.
$154.9K
1m vol.
$287K
Liquidity
$149.8K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Nov 12, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 750 |
| 57 min. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 750 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 26 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 26 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 660 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 660 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 686 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 686 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 54 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 54 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 756 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 756 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 756 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 756 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 8 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 725 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 725 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 725 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 186 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 478 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 22 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 22 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 9 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 9 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 13 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 13 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 500 |
| 24 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 460 |
| 24 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 20 |
| 24 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 100¢ | 48 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 0¢ | 43 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 100¢ | 48 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 0¢ | 48 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 100¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 100¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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