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Updated 13 min. ago

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Tech
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$959.1K

24h vol.

$5.7K

1w vol.

$154.9K

1m vol.

$287K

Liquidity

$149.8K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$214,519
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$16,694
0¢$3,611
0¢$3,000
1¢$364
1¢$177
1¢$431
1¢$1,724
1¢$125
1¢$937
1¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 45%Sells 55%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
57 min. agoBuy0¢750
57 min. agoSell0¢750
7 hr. agoSell100¢26
7 hr. agoSell0¢26
7 hr. agoSell100¢660
7 hr. agoSell0¢660
7 hr. agoBuy100¢686
7 hr. agoBuy0¢686
8 hr. agoBuy0¢54
8 hr. agoSell0¢54
8 hr. agoSell100¢1
8 hr. agoSell0¢1
8 hr. agoBuy100¢1
8 hr. agoBuy0¢1
8 hr. agoSell100¢1
8 hr. agoSell0¢1
8 hr. agoBuy100¢1
8 hr. agoBuy0¢1
9 hr. agoSell100¢756
9 hr. agoSell0¢756
9 hr. agoBuy100¢756
9 hr. agoBuy0¢756
12 hr. agoBuy0¢8
12 hr. agoSell0¢8
12 hr. agoSell0¢725
12 hr. agoBuy0¢725
12 hr. agoSell100¢725
12 hr. agoSell0¢186
12 hr. agoSell0¢6
12 hr. agoSell0¢50
12 hr. agoSell0¢5
12 hr. agoSell0¢478
15 hr. agoSell100¢22
15 hr. agoSell0¢22
16 hr. agoBuy100¢9
16 hr. agoBuy0¢9
16 hr. agoBuy100¢13
16 hr. agoBuy0¢13
24 hr. agoBuy0¢500
24 hr. agoSell0¢460
24 hr. agoSell0¢20
24 hr. agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell100¢48
1 day agoSell0¢43
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoBuy100¢48
1 day agoBuy0¢48
1 day agoBuy100¢100
1 day agoBuy0¢100
1 day agoSell100¢6

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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