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Updated 19 hr. ago

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 %
chance
Largest Company end of December 2026?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$821.7K
24h vol.
$1.2K
1w vol.
$28.1K
1m vol.
$88.7K
Liquidity
$160.3K
Bid / Ask
2¢ / 2¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Nov 12, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 52 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 7 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 7 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 14 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 14 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 26 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 26 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 63 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 63 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 25 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 25 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 58 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 58 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 134 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 134 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 141 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 141 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 76 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 76 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 98¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 55 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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