Skip to content

← Dashboard · Tech

Updated 9 hr. ago

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Tech
Log in for watchlist

28 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −0.4%24h▲ +14.0%1W
Yes 28¢No 72¢

Largest Company end of December 2026?

8 outcomes
See all 8 outcomes

Total volume

$1.2M

24h vol.

$1.9K

1w vol.

$167.5K

1m vol.

$268.2K

Liquidity

$90.8K

Bid / Ask

27¢ / 28¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

28¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
27¢$100
27¢$215
27¢$20
27¢$111
27¢$80
26¢$48
26¢$50
26¢$459
25¢$50
24¢$112
Asks (sell)Size
28¢$50
28¢$116
29¢$248
29¢$20
29¢$131
29¢$130
29¢$411
30¢$50
30¢$5
31¢$347

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 40%Sells 60%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
11 hr. agoBuy73¢9
11 hr. agoBuy27¢2
11 hr. agoSell73¢7
11 hr. agoBuy72¢20
11 hr. agoBuy28¢9
11 hr. agoBuy28¢11
11 hr. agoBuy72¢52
11 hr. agoBuy28¢42
11 hr. agoSell72¢10
11 hr. agoBuy28¢34
11 hr. agoBuy72¢34
12 hr. agoBuy28¢8
12 hr. agoBuy72¢8
16 hr. agoSell28¢4
16 hr. agoSell72¢4
18 hr. agoBuy29¢12
18 hr. agoSell29¢12
18 hr. agoSell28¢50
18 hr. agoSell72¢28
18 hr. agoSell72¢22
19 hr. agoSell71¢33
19 hr. agoSell29¢33
21 hr. agoSell28¢7
21 hr. agoBuy28¢7
1 day agoSell29¢144
1 day agoSell72¢22
1 day agoSell71¢45
1 day agoSell71¢77
1 day agoBuy29¢7
1 day agoSell29¢7
1 day agoSell71¢10
1 day agoBuy71¢10
1 day agoSell71¢38
1 day agoBuy71¢38
1 day agoSell71¢10
1 day agoSell29¢10
1 day agoSell71¢181
1 day agoBuy71¢181
1 day agoSell71¢58
1 day agoSell29¢58
1 day agoBuy72¢14
1 day agoSell72¢14
1 day agoBuy72¢5
1 day agoSell72¢5
1 day agoBuy72¢33
1 day agoBuy28¢33
1 day agoBuy72¢20
1 day agoSell72¢20
1 day agoBuy72¢63
1 day agoSell72¢63

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.