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Updated 2 days ago

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0 %
chance
Largest Company end of December 2026?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$1.1M
24h vol.
$15.11
1w vol.
$34.2K
1m vol.
$88.9K
Liquidity
$195.1K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Nov 12, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 655 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 345 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 42 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 42 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 42 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 42 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 43 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 43 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 0 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 0 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 287 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 287 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 16 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 16 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 111 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 111 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 27 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 27 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 29 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 29 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 108 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 108 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 52 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 52 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 138 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 138 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 53 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 53 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 102 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 102 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 93 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 93 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 112 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 112 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 171 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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