Updated 4 days ago

Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?
100 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 26.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 29% on Nov 9, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 34 buys, 16 sells; the largest was $6.35K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Trading has closed.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$193.6K
24h vol.
$88.2K
Liquidity
$27.1K
End date
Nov 11, 2026
trading closed
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$193.6K
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Nov 7, 2026
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 8 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 6 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 390 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6,360 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2,359 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 4,860 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 300 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 0 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 400 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 400 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 300 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 400 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 236 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 600 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 120 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 70 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 118 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 11 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 189 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 367 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 98¢ | 54 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 98¢ | 67 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 34 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 59 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 400 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 500 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 80 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 98¢ | 1 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 201 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 227 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 120 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 98¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 98¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 981 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 174 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 272 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 174 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 55 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 180 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 20 |
Rules & resolution
Kai Cenat is scheduled to begin a Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, with the stated goal of playing Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Grand Theft Auto IV, and Grand Theft Auto V on stream. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date and time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Playing or completing any individual game, pauses in the livestream, or temporary breaks from gameplay will have no bearing on this market. If Kai Cenat permanently moves on from the Grand Theft Auto marathon to other activities, the marathon will be considered over at that time, even if his livestream continues uninterrupted. Only events occurring while Kai Cenat is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the marathon is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from Kai Cenat's official broadcast on YouTube and Twitch.
- Event:
- Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?
- Resolution source:
- https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat
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