Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?

Market brief

• Last 50 trades: 13 buys, 37 sells; the largest was $1.75K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 12% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (1,777 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
• Scheduled to end in 2 yr. (Jan 1, 2029).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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• Export controls: the licence policy is the policyResearch library · Geopolitics
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• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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