Skip to content

← Crypto odds

Updated 5 days ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 16?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 16?

Crypto

34 %

chance

▼ −3.1%1h▼ −35.3%24h
Yes 34¢No 66¢

Market brief

  • Down 35.3 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 98% on Nov 10, 2026.
  • Last 27 trades: 27 buys, 0 sells; the largest was $586 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 25% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (141 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

◆ Your call

What's your number?

Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.

50%
Saved in this browser only. No account needed.

Result by email

Find out how it ends

One email when this market resolves. No account needed.

We send a confirmation link first. After the result email, we delete your address. Privacy

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

Request analysisPart of every plan · 7 days for $3

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$43.9K

24h vol.

$14.7K

Liquidity

$48.7K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 1 day

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$43.9K

Bid / Ask

34¢ / 34¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

35¢

Start date

Nov 9, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
98¢$600
98¢$7,100
98¢$5
98¢$5
98¢$5
98¢$5
98¢$5
97¢$5
97¢$5
97¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
98¢$1,000
99¢$10,000
99¢$1,364
99¢$1,500
99¢$1,667
99¢$1,250
99¢$1,434
99¢$1,677
100¢$1,005
100¢$1,255

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (27)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
6 days agoBuy98¢600
6 days agoBuy98¢200
6 days agoBuy98¢200
6 days agoBuy98¢200
6 days agoBuy98¢10
6 days agoBuy98¢10
6 days agoBuy98¢4
6 days agoBuy98¢200
6 days agoBuy98¢151
6 days agoBuy98¢10
6 days agoBuy98¢152
6 days agoBuy98¢140
6 days agoBuy98¢160
6 days agoBuy98¢160
6 days agoBuy98¢170
6 days agoBuy98¢156
6 days agoBuy98¢153
6 days agoBuy98¢153
6 days agoBuy98¢155
6 days agoBuy98¢157
6 days agoBuy98¢157
6 days agoBuy98¢143
6 days agoBuy98¢149
6 days agoBuy98¢128
6 days agoBuy98¢130
6 days agoBuy98¢129
6 days agoBuy98¢130
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Event:
Bitcoin above ___ on November 16?

Related markets

Open Crypto markets from other events — closest to this one first.

Keep exploring