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Updated 11 hr. ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 16?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 16?

Crypto

1 %

chance

▼ −0.4%1h▼ −0.4%24h
Yes 1¢No 99¢
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Market brief

  • At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 35 buys, 15 sells; the largest was $210 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 1% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (1,078 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Bitcoin above ___ on November 16?

11 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$40.5K

24h vol.

$29.6K

Liquidity

$47.5K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 1 day

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$40.5K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Nov 9, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$219
1¢$5
1¢$5
1¢$219
1¢$5
1¢$5
1¢$5
1¢$173
0¢$131
0¢$1,133
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$5
2¢$12
2¢$214
2¢$214
2¢$987
2¢$200
2¢$7,100
2¢$8
3¢$20
3¢$100

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 84%Sells 16%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
14 hr. agoBuy1¢6
14 hr. agoBuy1¢50
14 hr. agoBuy1¢12
14 hr. agoBuy1¢1,026
14 hr. agoBuy1¢1
14 hr. agoSell1¢222
14 hr. agoBuy1¢230
14 hr. agoBuy1¢14
14 hr. agoBuy1¢14
14 hr. agoBuy2¢0
14 hr. agoSell1¢1,949
15 hr. agoSell2¢5
15 hr. agoSell2¢7
15 hr. agoSell2¢214
15 hr. agoSell2¢5
15 hr. agoBuy2¢201
15 hr. agoSell2¢7
15 hr. agoSell2¢58
15 hr. agoBuy2¢6,523
15 hr. agoBuy2¢214
15 hr. agoBuy2¢50
15 hr. agoBuy2¢500
15 hr. agoBuy2¢214
15 hr. agoBuy1¢5
15 hr. agoBuy2¢582
15 hr. agoBuy2¢120
15 hr. agoBuy1¢5
16 hr. agoBuy1¢477
16 hr. agoBuy1¢224
16 hr. agoBuy1¢224
16 hr. agoSell1¢5
16 hr. agoBuy1¢224
16 hr. agoBuy1¢17
17 hr. agoBuy1¢13
17 hr. agoBuy1¢309
17 hr. agoBuy1¢400
17 hr. agoBuy1¢400
17 hr. agoBuy1¢450
18 hr. agoBuy0¢435
18 hr. agoSell0¢5
18 hr. agoBuy0¢5
18 hr. agoSell0¢5
18 hr. agoBuy0¢457
18 hr. agoBuy0¢12
18 hr. agoSell0¢31
18 hr. agoSell0¢5
18 hr. agoBuy0¢229
19 hr. agoBuy0¢11
19 hr. agoSell0¢23
20 hr. agoSell0¢30
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Event:
Bitcoin above ___ on November 16?
Resolution source:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

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