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Updated 5 days ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 16?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 16?

Crypto

0 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −0.8%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Historically, 1% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (1,078 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$16.6K

24h vol.

$4.4K

Liquidity

$48K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 1 day

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$16.6K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 9, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
34¢$5,000
33¢$7,120
32¢$5
31¢$5
30¢$17
29¢$5
21¢$133
15¢$1,187
3¢$5
1¢$78
Asks (sell)Size
37¢$7,100
38¢$5
39¢$5,005
40¢$5
41¢$10
42¢$5
48¢$4,136
59¢$68
60¢$4,547
65¢$80

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (2)

Buys 88%Sells 12%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoSell39¢5
5 days agoBuy40¢38
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Event:
Bitcoin above ___ on November 16?

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