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Updated 11 hr. ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 16?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 16?

Crypto

3 %

chance

▼ −0.9%1h▼ −8.6%24h
Yes 3¢No 97¢
Watch this market

Market brief

  • At 3%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 8.6 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 95% on Nov 11, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 28 buys, 22 sells; the largest was $700 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 1% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (1,078 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Bitcoin above ___ on November 16?

11 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$33.2K

24h vol.

$25.2K

Liquidity

$48.9K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 1 day

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$33.2K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 3¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Nov 9, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$20
3¢$530
3¢$146
3¢$125
3¢$20
3¢$214
3¢$597
2¢$214
2¢$20
2¢$7,100
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$65
4¢$17
4¢$65
5¢$913
5¢$5,212
5¢$7,100
5¢$50
5¢$50
6¢$20
8¢$8

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 98%Sells 2%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
11 hr. agoSell3¢24
11 hr. agoSell3¢24
11 hr. agoSell3¢14
11 hr. agoSell4¢11
11 hr. agoBuy5¢31
12 hr. agoBuy4¢12
12 hr. agoBuy5¢208
12 hr. agoBuy4¢101
12 hr. agoSell4¢7
12 hr. agoBuy5¢600
13 hr. agoBuy6¢224
14 hr. agoBuy6¢515
14 hr. agoBuy6¢20
14 hr. agoBuy6¢428
14 hr. agoBuy6¢11
15 hr. agoBuy6¢156
15 hr. agoBuy6¢454
15 hr. agoBuy6¢214
15 hr. agoSell5¢24
15 hr. agoBuy6¢1
15 hr. agoBuy6¢19
16 hr. agoSell5¢5
16 hr. agoBuy6¢1,500
16 hr. agoBuy5¢21
16 hr. agoSell4¢1
16 hr. agoBuy6¢4,000
16 hr. agoSell4¢22
16 hr. agoSell4¢5
16 hr. agoSell5¢2
16 hr. agoSell5¢8
16 hr. agoBuy7¢10,000
16 hr. agoBuy6¢23
17 hr. agoBuy7¢3,000
17 hr. agoSell5¢57
18 hr. agoSell6¢41
19 hr. agoBuy7¢11
20 hr. agoBuy7¢20
21 hr. agoSell9¢4
21 hr. agoSell9¢5
21 hr. agoBuy10¢50
22 hr. agoSell8¢17
22 hr. agoSell9¢147
22 hr. agoSell9¢1
23 hr. agoSell9¢1
23 hr. agoSell9¢1
23 hr. agoBuy11¢24
23 hr. agoBuy11¢405
23 hr. agoBuy10¢20
24 hr. agoSell9¢14
24 hr. agoBuy9¢15
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Event:
Bitcoin above ___ on November 16?
Resolution source:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

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