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Updated 13 min. ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 16?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 16?

Crypto

8 %

chance

▲ +2.5%1h▼ −24.9%24h
Yes 8¢No 92¢
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Market brief

  • Down 24.9 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 98% on Nov 11, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 23 buys, 27 sells; the largest was $566 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 12% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% one day before the end resolved YES (163 cases). The gap to their average price could still be chance.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Bitcoin above ___ on November 16?

11 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$70.5K

24h vol.

$36.8K

Liquidity

$43.8K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 1 day

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$70.5K

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 8¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Nov 9, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$1,135
8¢$637
8¢$80
8¢$205
8¢$80
8¢$80
8¢$80
7¢$76
7¢$600
6¢$11
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$5,617
8¢$11
8¢$12
9¢$5
9¢$68
9¢$180
10¢$269
10¢$20
10¢$100
10¢$50

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 93%Sells 7%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
13 min. agoSell8¢19
15 min. agoBuy8¢1,490
27 min. agoSell8¢19
27 min. agoSell7¢20
27 min. agoBuy7¢11
31 min. agoSell7¢65
32 min. agoSell7¢20
36 min. agoSell6¢15
36 min. agoSell7¢20
37 min. agoBuy6¢16
37 min. agoBuy6¢600
44 min. agoBuy6¢5,680
48 min. agoBuy6¢17
49 min. agoBuy6¢13
52 min. agoBuy6¢21
55 min. agoBuy6¢11
1 hr. agoSell5¢21
1 hr. agoBuy7¢23
1 hr. agoSell7¢11
1 hr. agoSell8¢12
2 hr. agoBuy8¢8
2 hr. agoBuy8¢53
2 hr. agoBuy8¢5
3 hr. agoBuy7¢36
3 hr. agoSell7¢19
3 hr. agoSell9¢11
3 hr. agoBuy10¢2
4 hr. agoSell11¢19
4 hr. agoSell11¢19
4 hr. agoSell11¢19
4 hr. agoSell11¢19
4 hr. agoSell11¢22
5 hr. agoSell11¢19
5 hr. agoSell11¢22
5 hr. agoBuy10¢5
5 hr. agoBuy12¢18
5 hr. agoSell12¢6
5 hr. agoBuy12¢19
5 hr. agoSell12¢19
5 hr. agoSell12¢19
6 hr. agoBuy13¢8
6 hr. agoSell13¢18
6 hr. agoBuy15¢15
6 hr. agoBuy15¢7
6 hr. agoSell17¢17
6 hr. agoBuy16¢12
6 hr. agoSell16¢18
6 hr. agoBuy16¢50
6 hr. agoSell16¢83
6 hr. agoSell16¢17
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Event:
Bitcoin above ___ on November 16?
Resolution source:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

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