Updated 34 min. ago

Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?
23 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 22.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 67% on Nov 12, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 18 buys, 32 sells; the largest was $6K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 30% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (4,571 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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Total volume
$134.8K
24h vol.
$70.8K
Liquidity
$11.4K
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$134.8K
Bid / Ask
22¢ / 23¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
23¢
Start date
Nov 12, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 38 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 180 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 127 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 369 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 21 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 64 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 496 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 614 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 101 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 10 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 4 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 3,600 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 576 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 106 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 15 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 2,978 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 30 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 30 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 131 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 7 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 10 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 80 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 4 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 167 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 8,414 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 204 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 1 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 1,467 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 2,755 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 282 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 1 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 15 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 20 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 160 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 213 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 349 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 28 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 1,520 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 138 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 20 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 196 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 20 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 36 |
Rules & resolution
On November 8, 2026, Jensen Huang sent a message to NVIDIA employees in which he stated “I was unfaithful to my wife.” The message did not name the woman involved. News reports have identified that woman as Alice Huang. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Jensen Huang publicly acknowledges a romantic or sexual relationship outside his marriage with a woman other than Alice Huang. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying acknowledgment must name a woman other than Alice Huang, or make clear that Huang was unfaithful with more than one person (for example, by acknowledging multiple affairs or multiple partners). An acknowledgment that does not name the woman involved and could refer to Alice Huang will not qualify. The November 8, 2026 message, any statement that repeats, confirms or adds detail about the relationship with Alice Huang, and any general statement about being unfaithful that does not meet the requirements above will not qualify. Private testimony that was taken after market creation and made public by the date specified above will qualify for the purposes of this market. A qualifying acknowledgment must be explicit and unambiguous. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jensen Huang, NVIDIA, or their official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?
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