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Updated 2 days ago

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

38 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +3.0%24h
Yes 38¢No 62¢
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Market brief

  • Up 3.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 42% on Nov 9, 2026.
  • Last 11 trades: 4 buys, 7 sells; the largest was $10 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 48% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (154 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 14, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 12 - November 14, 2026?

10 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$2.1K

24h vol.

$1.6K

Liquidity

$2.9K

End date

Nov 14, 2026

ends in 3 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$2.1K

Bid / Ask

37¢ / 39¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

37¢

Start date

Nov 9, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
34¢$725
33¢$807
32¢$382
31¢$160
30¢$2,000
28¢$5
17¢$100
16¢$110
15¢$107
14¢$30
Asks (sell)Size
37¢$523
38¢$187
40¢$60
43¢$50
53¢$6
54¢$104
55¢$24
56¢$50
57¢$50
59¢$20

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (11)

Buys 55%Sells 45%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy36¢20
2 days agoBuy36¢20
2 days agoBuy36¢20
2 days agoBuy35¢9
2 days agoSell41¢10
2 days agoSell41¢2
2 days agoSell41¢9
2 days agoSell40¢10
2 days agoSell40¢2
2 days agoSell41¢17
2 days agoSell41¢6
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 12 12:00 PM ET to November 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 12 - November 14, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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