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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Crypto
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18 %

chance

▲ +0.5%24h▼ −2.5%1W
Yes 18¢No 83¢

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

3 outcomes
See all 3 outcomes

Total volume

$456.7K

24h vol.

$647.973

1w vol.

$2.8K

1m vol.

$13.5K

Liquidity

$36K

Bid / Ask

15¢ / 20¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

19¢

Start date

Dec 22, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 220 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$394
17¢$128
16¢$125
15¢$124
14¢$143
13¢$154
12¢$167
10¢$24
9¢$50
8¢$300
Asks (sell)Size
19¢$412
20¢$258
21¢$30
22¢$26
23¢$26
24¢$27
25¢$27
26¢$68
28¢$45
29¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 67%Sells 33%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell18¢19
1 mo. agoBuy18¢19
1 mo. agoBuy81¢84
1 mo. agoSell81¢9
1 mo. agoBuy19¢74
1 mo. agoSell19¢36
1 mo. agoBuy19¢36
1 mo. agoSell18¢19
1 mo. agoBuy18¢19
1 mo. agoBuy21¢19
1 mo. agoBuy79¢19
1 mo. agoSell18¢8
1 mo. agoBuy18¢8
1 mo. agoBuy20¢8
1 mo. agoSell20¢8
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoSell18¢8
1 mo. agoBuy18¢8
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢8
1 mo. agoSell20¢8
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoSell20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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All Bitcoin data on one pagePrice history, how the coin behaves, and every other open market that names a price level.

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