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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

Crypto
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7 %

chance

▼ −1.5%24h▼ −1.5%1W
Yes 7¢No 93¢

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

3 outcomes
See all 3 outcomes

Total volume

$290.8K

24h vol.

$1.3K

1w vol.

$3.2K

1m vol.

$9.9K

Liquidity

$50.1K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 8¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Dec 22, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
22¢$99
21¢$115
20¢$151
19¢$106
18¢$112
17¢$118
16¢$216
14¢$85
13¢$55
12¢$177
Asks (sell)Size
24¢$123
25¢$410
26¢$125
27¢$163
28¢$30
29¢$30
30¢$70
31¢$3,594
32¢$75
33¢$35

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 61%Sells 39%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell76¢3
1 mo. agoSell24¢3
1 mo. agoSell76¢3
1 mo. agoSell24¢3
1 mo. agoBuy78¢1
1 mo. agoBuy22¢1
1 mo. agoSell76¢5
1 mo. agoSell24¢5
1 mo. agoBuy24¢83
1 mo. agoSell24¢38
1 mo. agoBuy76¢5
1 mo. agoBuy76¢5
1 mo. agoBuy76¢5
1 mo. agoBuy76¢5
1 mo. agoBuy76¢5
1 mo. agoBuy76¢5
1 mo. agoBuy76¢5
1 mo. agoBuy76¢5
1 mo. agoBuy76¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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