Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? odds
Live implied probabilities across 30 outcomes · $42.9K traded · updated 5 hr. ago
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
240-259 leads at 14 % · biggest 24h move: 300-319 +7.5 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1240-25914 %▼ −0.5%$1.6K
- 2260-27914 %▲ +6.0%$2.6K
- 3300-31914 %▲ +7.5%$3K
- 4280-29913 %▲ +5.0%$2.6K
- 5320-3399 %▲ +4.9%$1.5K
- 6220-2399 %▼ −6.5%$1.7K
- 7200-2196 %▼ −4.0%$1.8K
- 8340-3596 %▲ +1.7%$1.5K
- 9180-1994 %▼ −6.3%$1.5K
- 10360-3794 %▼ −1.4%$524.343
- 11380-3992 %▼ −3.4%$1.4K
- 12400-4192 %▼ −3.7%$1.2K
Show all 30 outcomesShow fewer
- 13420-4391 %▼ −3.1%$1.5K
- 14440-4591 %▼ −3.3%$1.4K
- 15480-4991 %▼ −3.8%$1.1K
- 16160-1791 %▼ −4.9%$391.594
- 17500-5191 %▼ −4.0%$2.6K
- 18460-4791 %▼ −4.0%$1.1K
- 19520-5391 %▼ −4.3%$1.3K
- 20580+1 %▼ −1.4%$3.1K
- 21140-1590 %▼ −5.6%$510.222
- 22100-1190 %▼ −4.1%$1.9K
- 23540-5590 %▼ −1.7%$1.3K
- 24560-5790 %▼ −1.7%$1.4K
- 25120-1390 %▼ −4.7%$1.1K
- 2680-990 %▼ −0.9%$2.8K
- 27<200 %—$100
- 2820-390 %—$100
- 2940-590 %—$100
- 3060-790 %▼ −0.3%$290.01
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026??
- 240-259 is the current favourite at 14 %, ahead of 29 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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