Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? odds
Live implied probabilities across 30 outcomes · $27K traded · updated 6 hr. ago
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
320-339 leads at 14 %
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1320-33914 %—$2.1K
- 2280-29913 %—$427.644
- 3300-31913 %—$3.3K
- 4260-27910 %—$493.557
- 5240-2599 %—$829.249
- 6340-3599 %—$1.2K
- 7220-2397 %—$793.582
- 8360-3797 %—$668.804
- 9200-2196 %—$638.826
- 10380-3994 %—$343.565
- 11400-4193 %—$580.565
- 12160-1792 %—$343.565
Show all 30 outcomesShow fewer
- 13180-1992 %—$1.3K
- 14420-4392 %—$443.563
- 15440-4591 %—$688.219
- 16140-1591 %—$1.4K
- 17460-4791 %—$509.993
- 18480-4991 %—$539.993
- 19120-1391 %—$1.1K
- 20500-5191 %—$539.934
- 21580+0 %—$758.565
- 22520-5390 %—$431.644
- 23540-5590 %—$453.564
- 24560-5790 %—$458.579
- 25100-1190 %—$2.1K
- 2680-990 %—$3K
- 27<200 %—$306
- 2820-390 %—$140
- 2940-590 %—$140
- 3060-790 %—$1K
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026??
- 320-339 is the current favourite at 14 %, ahead of 29 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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