Highest grossing movie in 2026? odds
Live implied probabilities across 14 outcomes · $17.8M traded · updated 1 hr. ago
Resolves Jan 8, 2027
Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads at 93 % · biggest 24h move: Spider-Man: Brand New Day −1.5 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Spider-Man: Brand New Day93 %▼ −1.5%$732.5K
- 2Avengers: Doomsday7 %▲ +1.2%$1.2M
- 3Wicked: For Good0 %—$2.2M
- 4Wuthering Heights0 %—$2.3M
- 5Scream 70 %—$2.5M
- 6Michael0 %—$1.3M
- 7Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu0 %—$821.5K
- 8Toy Story 50 %—$619.3K
- 9The Odyssey0 %—$955.9K
- 10The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping0 %—$1.2M
- 11Dune: Messiah0 %—$731.5K
- 12Project Hail Mary0 %—$1.4M
Show all 14 outcomesShow fewer
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Highest grossing movie in 2026??
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day is the current favourite at 93 %, ahead of 13 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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