MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner odds
Live implied probabilities across 24 outcomes · $978.1K traded · updated 4 hr. ago
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Lionel Messi leads at 96 % · biggest 24h move: Brian White +0.9 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Lionel Messi96 %▼ −0.3%$38.3K
- 2Brian White2 %▲ +1.0%$4.6K
- 3Petar Musa2 %▼ −0.1%$14.8K
- 4Kévin Denkey1 %▲ +0.4%$2.5K
- 5Milan Iloski1 %▼ −0.7%$4.4K
- 6Hugo Cuypers1 %▲ +0.8%$5.1K
- 7Sam Surridge1 %—$4K
- 8Tai Baribo0 %▼ −0.2%$29.8K
- 9Hany Mukhtar0 %▲ +0.3%$2.4K
- 10Denis Bouanga0 %—$3K
- 11Philip Zinckernagel0 %▼ −0.1%$368.021
- 12Prince-Osei Owusu0 %▼ −0.1%$14.4K
Show all 24 outcomesShow fewer
- 13Germán Berterame0 %—$76K
- 14Alonso Martínez0 %▼ −0.3%$3.2K
- 15Dejan Joveljić0 %▼ −0.1%$2.8K
- 16Martín Ojeda0 %—$2K
- 17Albert Rusnák0 %▼ −0.2%$68.2K
- 18Anders Dreyer0 %—$588.781
- 19Tadeo Allende0 %—$237K
- 20Evander0 %—$3K
- 21Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting0 %—$460.5K
- 22Danny Musovski0 %—$376.041
- 23Diego Rossi0 %▼ −0.1%$261.04
- 24Louis Munteanu0 %—$492.505
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner?
- Lionel Messi is the current favourite at 96 %, ahead of 23 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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