Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 odds
Live implied probabilities across 53 outcomes · $1,295.1M traded · updated 9 hr. ago
Resolves Nov 8, 2028
Gavin Newsom leads at 16 % · biggest 24h move: Gavin Newsom +1.8 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Gavin Newsom16 %▲ +1.8%$28M
- 2Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15 %▼ −1.8%$15.5M
- 3Jon Ossoff14 %▲ +0.1%$13.4M
- 4Kamala Harris7 %▲ +0.2%$14.1M
- 5Josh Shapiro6 %▲ +0.2%$10.3M
- 6Pete Buttigieg5 %—$12.2M
- 7Andy Beshear3 %—$13.4M
- 8James Talarico3 %—$11.1M
- 9Mark Kelly3 %▲ +0.3%$17.7M
- 10Raphael Warnock2 %▲ +0.2%$34.4M
- 11Wes Moore2 %—$18.5M
- 12Bernie Sanders2 %▲ +0.1%$52.9M
Show all 53 outcomesShow fewer
- 13Rahm Emanuel2 %—$14.7M
- 14Ro Khanna1 %▲ +0.2%$11.5M
- 15J.B. Pritzker1 %—$15.8M
- 16Chelsea Clinton1 %▲ +0.1%$50.9M
- 17Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1 %—$12.5M
- 18Cory Booker1 %—$26.3M
- 19Jon Stewart1 %—$24.8M
- 20Gretchen Whitmer1 %—$12.1M
- 21Chris Murphy0 %—$17.6M
- 22Chris Van Hollen0 %—$2M
- 23Mark Cuban0 %—$23.3M
- 24Michelle Obama0 %—$26.4M
- 25Roy Cooper0 %—$31.8M
- 26Hunter Biden0 %—$44.7M
- 27Ruben Gallego0 %▼ −0.1%$9M
- 28Stephen A. Smith0 %—$23.1M
- 29Gina Raimondo0 %—$35.8M
- 30Zohran Mamdani0 %—$39M
- 31Jared Polis0 %—$27.5M
- 32Barack Obama0 %—$34.2M
- 33Hillary Clinton0 %—$44.2M
- 34Phil Murphy0 %—$42.9M
- 35LeBron James0 %—$44.3M
- 36Jasmine Crockett0 %—$36.5M
- 37Abigail Spanberger0 %—$3.1M
- 38Hakeem Jeffries0 %—$2.1M
- 39Elissa Slotkin0 %—$1.7M
- 40Josh Stein0 %—$2.5M
- 41Mitch Landrieu0 %—$826.1K
- 42Tim Walz0 %—$43.9M
- 43John Fetterman0 %—$25.7M
- 44Liz Cheney0 %—$38.7M
- 45George Clooney0 %—$43.5M
- 46MrBeast0 %—$41.1M
- 47Oprah Winfrey0 %—$54.4M
- 48Andrew Yang0 %—$48.9M
- 49Beto O’Rourke0 %—$42.8M
- 50Kim Kardashian0 %—$42.9M
- 51Graham Platner0 %—$8.5M
- 52Adam Schiff0 %—$703K
- 53Alex Padilla0 %—$1M
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Gavin Newsom is the current favourite at 16 %, ahead of 52 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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