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Daily recap

Prediction market recap — Oct 3, 2026

The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.

This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.

Top moves

Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.

1Exact Score: Ferro Carril Oeste 0 - 2 Deportivo Madryn?100¢▲ +96.8%2Will Anna Bright qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?91¢▲ +83.5%3Will "Verity" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?4¢▼ −83.3%4Will Jorja Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?89¢▲ +81.5%5Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?92¢▲ +80.0%6Will zekken play for MIBR in 2027?86¢▲ +77.5%

Where AI disagrees with the market

The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?-34 pp gap2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House-21 pp gapUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?+22 pp gapWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?-18 pp gap

Biggest coin moves

The largest 24-hour price swings among the coins in our crypto hub.

The Sandbox SAND$0.0803▲ +80.3%Decentraland MANA$0.1061▲ +20.1%ApeCoin APE$0.1672▲ +11.7%Axie Infinity AXS$1.27▲ +11.6%Immutable IMX$0.1893▲ +9.8%Useless Coin USELESS$0.2218▼ −9.0%

Fresh AI research

Markets our AI analysed most recently.

Cardinals vs. GiantsCardinals vs. Giants56¢Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?71¢Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?13¢Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?16¢

New to prediction markets? Start with the beginner guides. Looking for a full field rather than a single market? Browse live odds by topic.