Daily recap

Prediction market recap — Oct 17, 2026

The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.

This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.

Top moves

Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?100¢▲ +91.0%2

Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?3¢▼ −90.5%3

W35 Heraklion: Maria Herazo vs Vittoria Paganetti100¢▲ +84.5%4Will Anna Bright qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?91¢▲ +83.5%5Will Jorja Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?89¢▲ +81.5%6Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?92¢▲ +80.0%

Where AI disagrees with the market

The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.

SEA Seahawks vs DEN Broncos — DenverMarket 50%AI 100%-50 pp gap SEA Seahawks vs DEN Broncos — SeattleMarket 51%AI 0%+51 pp gap

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Market 62%AI 39%+23 pp gap

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Market 44%AI 36%+8 pp gap

Biggest coin moves

The largest 24-hour price swings among the coins in our crypto hub.

Celestia TIA$0.7366▲ +21.8%Starknet STRK$0.0714▼ −14.9%Useless Coin USELESS$0.1614▼ −6.7%Stacks STX$0.377▼ −6.6%Zcash ZEC$1,153▼ −4.6%ApeCoin APE$0.1482▲ +4.0%

Fresh AI research

Markets our AI analysed most recently.

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17?75¢

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House10¢US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?79¢

Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?20¢

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