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Updated 23 min. ago

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Politics
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70 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −2.0%24h▲ +8.0%1W
Yes 70¢No 31¢

Market brief

  • Up 8.0 pp over the past week (−2.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 80% on Oct 24, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 19 buys, 31 sells; the largest was $5.5K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 69% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% one day before the end resolved YES (3,000 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 25, 2026).

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Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

10 outcomes
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Total volume

$1.8M

24h vol.

$489.7K

1w vol.

$1.2M

1m vol.

$1.8M

Liquidity

$199.2K

Bid / Ask

69¢ / 70¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

72¢

Start date

Sep 21, 2026

End date

Oct 25, 2026

ends in 1 day

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,000 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% one day before resolution, 69.1% resolved YES. That is 4.1 points less often than their average price of 73.2% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
69¢$18,178
68¢$28,985
67¢$10,432
66¢$4,685
65¢$44,259
64¢$24,908
63¢$14,068
62¢$2,175
61¢$1,500
60¢$2,000
Asks (sell)Size
71¢$4,332
72¢$23,603
73¢$2,175
74¢$5,605
75¢$11,706
76¢$450
77¢$450
78¢$450
79¢$1,400
80¢$5,900

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 73%Sells 27%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
32 min. agoSell69¢116
33 min. agoBuy71¢14
33 min. agoBuy71¢9
35 min. agoBuy70¢170
44 min. agoBuy70¢57
45 min. agoSell69¢5
45 min. agoBuy70¢17
47 min. agoSell70¢150
47 min. agoSell70¢141
48 min. agoSell70¢30
48 min. agoSell70¢50
48 min. agoSell70¢64
49 min. agoBuy71¢250
51 min. agoSell70¢135
51 min. agoSell70¢44
51 min. agoSell70¢20
51 min. agoSell70¢16
51 min. agoSell70¢105
51 min. agoSell70¢70
51 min. agoSell70¢141
51 min. agoSell70¢333
51 min. agoSell70¢11
51 min. agoSell70¢70
51 min. agoSell70¢141
52 min. agoSell70¢21
52 min. agoSell70¢141
57 min. agoSell69¢806
1 hr. agoSell69¢3,251
1 hr. agoSell70¢372
1 hr. agoBuy71¢1,353
1 hr. agoBuy71¢167
1 hr. agoBuy71¢7,000
1 hr. agoSell70¢75
1 hr. agoBuy71¢2
1 hr. agoSell70¢30
1 hr. agoBuy71¢51
1 hr. agoSell70¢7
1 hr. agoBuy71¢140
1 hr. agoBuy71¢4,047
1 hr. agoBuy70¢17
1 hr. agoBuy70¢37
1 hr. agoBuy70¢7,860
1 hr. agoSell69¢121
1 hr. agoSell69¢150
1 hr. agoSell69¢32
2 hr. agoBuy71¢53
2 hr. agoSell69¢75
2 hr. agoBuy71¢323
2 hr. agoBuy71¢35
2 hr. agoSell70¢1,141

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