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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Politics
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27 %

chance

▲ +2.8%24h▲ +9.0%1W
Yes 27¢No 73¢

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$112.9K

24h vol.

$1.7K

1w vol.

$19.4K

1m vol.

$55.8K

Liquidity

$46.4K

Bid / Ask

27¢ / 28¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

28¢

Start date

Apr 29, 2026

End date

Oct 28, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
22¢$19
22¢$20
20¢$151
20¢$1,275
20¢$5,123
20¢$486
19¢$100
19¢$100
18¢$100
18¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
23¢$12
24¢$5
29¢$15
29¢$152
29¢$1,600
29¢$360
30¢$50
31¢$5
31¢$40
31¢$270

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 99%Sells 1%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy78¢5
1 mo. agoSell78¢5
1 mo. agoBuy78¢5
1 mo. agoSell78¢5
1 mo. agoBuy78¢2
1 mo. agoSell78¢2
1 mo. agoBuy78¢10
1 mo. agoSell78¢10
1 mo. agoBuy23¢172
1 mo. agoBuy76¢31
1 mo. agoBuy76¢70
1 mo. agoBuy77¢5
1 mo. agoBuy77¢5
1 mo. agoBuy77¢5
1 mo. agoBuy77¢5
1 mo. agoBuy77¢5
1 mo. agoBuy77¢5
1 mo. agoBuy77¢5
1 mo. agoBuy77¢5
1 mo. agoBuy78¢5
1 mo. agoBuy78¢5
1 mo. agoBuy78¢10
1 mo. agoBuy78¢10
1 mo. agoBuy78¢0
1 mo. agoSell78¢5
1 mo. agoBuy78¢5
1 mo. agoBuy79¢11
1 mo. agoSell80¢6
1 mo. agoSell79¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢1,065
1 mo. agoBuy78¢1,065
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoBuy78¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢30
1 mo. agoBuy78¢30
1 mo. agoBuy21¢15
1 mo. agoBuy79¢10
1 mo. agoBuy79¢5
1 mo. agoBuy20¢484
1 mo. agoBuy80¢7
1 mo. agoBuy80¢477
1 mo. agoBuy82¢11
1 mo. agoSell82¢6
1 mo. agoSell81¢5
1 mo. agoBuy82¢14
1 mo. agoSell82¢14
1 mo. agoBuy19¢2,452
1 mo. agoBuy80¢1,100
1 mo. agoSell19¢10
1 mo. agoBuy81¢1,342

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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