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Updated 18 hr. ago

Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Politics
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2 %

chance

▼ −0.4%1h▲ +0.5%24h▼ −0.8%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$45.2K

24h vol.

$14.1K

1w vol.

$23.2K

1m vol.

$29.8K

Liquidity

$53.5K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 2¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Apr 29, 2026

End date

Oct 28, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$40
1¢$42
1¢$77
1¢$350
1¢$1,599
1¢$1,274
1¢$1,984
1¢$225
1¢$80
0¢$30
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$50
3¢$2,018
4¢$332
9¢$6
10¢$43
10¢$30
10¢$80
11¢$150
11¢$13
11¢$193

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
21 hr. agoBuy2¢14,107
21 hr. agoSell4¢448
21 hr. agoBuy96¢300
21 hr. agoBuy98¢16
21 hr. agoBuy98¢24
21 hr. agoSell2¢13,000
21 hr. agoSell2¢200
21 hr. agoSell2¢84
21 hr. agoSell2¢30
21 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 days agoBuy99¢60
2 days agoBuy1¢26
2 days agoBuy1¢34
2 days agoBuy99¢100
2 days agoBuy1¢36
2 days agoBuy1¢64
2 days agoBuy99¢10
2 days agoBuy1¢10
2 days agoSell99¢50
2 days agoSell1¢1
2 days agoSell1¢45
2 days agoBuy99¢5
2 days agoSell1¢26
2 days agoBuy1¢26
2 days agoSell1¢3,930
2 days agoBuy1¢2,700
2 days agoBuy1¢5
2 days agoBuy1¢6
2 days agoBuy1¢800
2 days agoBuy1¢300
2 days agoBuy1¢84
2 days agoBuy1¢30
2 days agoBuy1¢5
3 days agoBuy99¢4
3 days agoBuy1¢4
3 days agoBuy2¢526
3 days agoSell2¢190
3 days agoSell2¢233
3 days agoSell2¢19
3 days agoSell2¢84
4 days agoBuy99¢13
4 days agoBuy1¢13
5 days agoBuy99¢7
5 days agoBuy1¢7
5 days agoBuy2¢50
5 days agoSell2¢50
5 days agoSell1¢2,654
5 days agoBuy1¢2,273
5 days agoBuy1¢233
5 days agoBuy1¢84

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