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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Politics
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43 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +2.0%1W
Yes 43¢No 57¢

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$36.1K

24h vol.

$541.223

1w vol.

$5K

1m vol.

$11.8K

Liquidity

$49.8K

Bid / Ask

42¢ / 43¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

42¢

Start date

Apr 29, 2026

End date

Oct 28, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,870 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
33¢$30
32¢$60
31¢$24
30¢$110
29¢$77
28¢$155
27¢$60
17¢$30
15¢$59
13¢$97
Asks (sell)Size
37¢$86
39¢$22
41¢$36
42¢$69
43¢$184
45¢$55
46¢$57
47¢$413
48¢$1,364
49¢$523

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 94%Sells 6%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell61¢29
1 mo. agoSell39¢29
1 mo. agoBuy41¢39
1 mo. agoBuy59¢29
1 mo. agoBuy59¢5
1 mo. agoBuy60¢5
1 mo. agoSell34¢244
1 mo. agoBuy31¢36
1 mo. agoBuy34¢100
1 mo. agoBuy34¢5
1 mo. agoBuy34¢15
1 mo. agoBuy35¢60
1 mo. agoBuy35¢10
1 mo. agoBuy35¢10
1 mo. agoSell64¢8
1 mo. agoBuy62¢5
1 mo. agoSell62¢5
1 mo. agoBuy61¢5
1 mo. agoSell61¢5
1 mo. agoSell60¢12
1 mo. agoBuy60¢2
1 mo. agoBuy60¢10
1 mo. agoBuy40¢50
1 mo. agoBuy60¢50
1 mo. agoSell39¢5
1 mo. agoSell61¢5
1 mo. agoBuy40¢5
1 mo. agoBuy60¢5
1 mo. agoBuy40¢5
1 mo. agoBuy60¢5
1 mo. agoBuy61¢5
1 mo. agoSell61¢5
1 mo. agoBuy40¢3,333
1 mo. agoBuy60¢3,333
1 mo. agoBuy38¢107
1 mo. agoBuy60¢22
1 mo. agoSell37¢55
1 mo. agoBuy63¢10
1 mo. agoBuy63¢10
1 mo. agoBuy64¢5
1 mo. agoBuy64¢5
1 mo. agoSell64¢10
1 mo. agoBuy64¢5
1 mo. agoBuy64¢5
1 mo. agoBuy36¢28
1 mo. agoBuy64¢18
1 mo. agoBuy64¢5
1 mo. agoBuy64¢5
1 mo. agoSell40¢55
1 mo. agoBuy40¢55

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