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Updated 6 days ago
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
7 %
chance
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
5 outcomesTotal volume
$295.6K
24h vol.
$6K
1w vol.
$49K
1m vol.
$244.1K
Liquidity
$90.6K
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 7¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
7¢
Start date
Apr 29, 2026
End date
Oct 28, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 221 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 days ago | Sell | 88¢ | 30 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 88¢ | 30 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 12¢ | 13 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 88¢ | 13 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 13¢ | 1,420 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 13¢ | 1,380 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 88¢ | 30 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 88¢ | 10 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 32 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 32 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 4,450 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 4,450 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 75 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 75 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1,111 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 1,111 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1,111 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 1,111 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 10 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 10 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1,333 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 1,333 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 91¢ | 150 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 150 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 111 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 111 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 5,100 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 91¢ | 5,000 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 100 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 80 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 80 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 249 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 249 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 11¢ | 180 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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