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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Politics
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▼ −1.2%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$102.2K

24h vol.

$384.05

1w vol.

$23.5K

1m vol.

$28.5K

Liquidity

$57.1K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

May 5, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$25
1¢$40
1¢$143
1¢$22
0¢$790
0¢$933
0¢$4,961
0¢$10,433
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$69
3¢$139
3¢$100
4¢$587
5¢$696
9¢$5
10¢$300
10¢$50
19¢$250
28¢$40

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 57%Sells 43%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy99¢5
1 mo. agoSell99¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢203
1 mo. agoSell3¢50
1 mo. agoSell2¢92
1 mo. agoSell2¢30
1 mo. agoBuy98¢30
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoSell1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy99¢21
1 mo. agoBuy1¢21
1 mo. agoSell1¢200
1 mo. agoBuy1¢158
1 mo. agoBuy1¢30
1 mo. agoSell99¢12
1 mo. agoSell1¢148
1 mo. agoSell99¢16
1 mo. agoSell99¢50
1 mo. agoSell99¢42
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy99¢55
1 mo. agoBuy1¢55
1 mo. agoBuy99¢12
1 mo. agoBuy1¢12
1 mo. agoBuy99¢78
1 mo. agoSell99¢8
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoSell99¢30
1 mo. agoBuy99¢1
1 mo. agoSell99¢1
1 mo. agoBuy3¢148
1 mo. agoBuy97¢22
1 mo. agoSell3¢65
1 mo. agoBuy97¢56
1 mo. agoSell3¢5
1 mo. agoSell97¢30
1 mo. agoBuy97¢30
1 mo. agoSell2¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoBuy1¢579
1 mo. agoSell2¢15
1 mo. agoSell2¢16
1 mo. agoSell1¢34
1 mo. agoSell1¢134
1 mo. agoSell1¢44
1 mo. agoSell1¢56
1 mo. agoSell1¢159
1 mo. agoSell1¢100
1 mo. agoSell1¢21
1 mo. agoBuy1¢215

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.