← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1 %
chance
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
38 outcomes- Luca Niculescu96 %
- Ilie Bolojan1 %
- Leonardo Badea1 %
- Sorin Grindeanu1 %
- Eugen Tomac1 %
- Alexandru Nazare0 %
- George Simion0 %
- Alexandru Rogobete0 %
- Traian Basescu0 %
- Siegfried Mureșan0 %
- Victor Ponta0 %
- Nicolae Ciucă0 %
- Mircea Geoană0 %
- Lucian Croitoru0 %
- Sebastian Burduja0 %
- Dragoș Pîslaru0 %
- Raluca Turcan0 %
- Cătălin Drulă0 %
- Dacian Cioloș0 %
- Emil Boc0 %
- Șerban Matei0 %
- Anca Dragu0 %
- Elena Lasconi0 %
- Radu Burnete0 %
- Marcel Ciolacu0 %
- Alexandru Rafila0 %
- Adrian Veștea0 %
- Mugur Isărescu0 %
- Cătălin Predoiu0 %
- Ciprian Ciucu0 %
- Delia Velculescu0 %
- Hunor Kelemen0 %
- Dominic Fritz0 %
- Dan Motreanu0 %
- Calin Georgescu0 %
- Ionuț Dumitru0 %
- Vasile Dîncu0 %
- Lucian Isar0 %
Total volume
$244K
24h vol.
$921.787
1w vol.
$1.7K
1m vol.
$13.8K
Liquidity
$49K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 1¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
May 5, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 59 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 59 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 59 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 47 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 61 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 1,546 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 133 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 1,143 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 257 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 57 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 43 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 1,857 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 1,639 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 129 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 39 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 120 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 43 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 47 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 78 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 58 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 4,973 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 268 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.