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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Politics
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$72.9K

24h vol.

$4.8

1w vol.

$24.11

1m vol.

$15.2K

Liquidity

$26K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

May 5, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$8,223
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$619
0¢$100
0¢$178
1¢$1,334
1¢$100
1¢$100
1¢$100
1¢$19
1¢$1,107
2¢$2,011

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 68%Sells 32%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell0¢2
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoSell0¢21
1 mo. agoBuy0¢21
1 mo. agoBuy100¢55
1 mo. agoBuy0¢55
1 mo. agoBuy100¢12
1 mo. agoBuy0¢12
1 mo. agoBuy100¢78
1 mo. agoBuy0¢78
1 mo. agoSell100¢9
1 mo. agoSell0¢9
1 mo. agoSell100¢27
1 mo. agoSell0¢9
1 mo. agoSell0¢18
1 mo. agoBuy100¢36
1 mo. agoBuy0¢36
1 mo. agoSell0¢5
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5
1 mo. agoSell100¢36
1 mo. agoSell0¢10
1 mo. agoSell0¢16
1 mo. agoSell0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢36
1 mo. agoBuy0¢36
1 mo. agoSell0¢0
1 mo. agoBuy0¢0
1 mo. agoSell0¢135
1 mo. agoBuy0¢95
1 mo. agoBuy0¢40
1 mo. agoSell0¢8
1 mo. agoBuy0¢8
1 mo. agoSell0¢250
1 mo. agoBuy0¢250
1 mo. agoSell0¢33
1 mo. agoBuy0¢33
1 mo. agoSell0¢299
1 mo. agoBuy0¢299
1 mo. agoSell0¢38
1 mo. agoBuy0¢38
1 mo. agoBuy100¢27
1 mo. agoBuy0¢27
1 mo. agoBuy100¢150
1 mo. agoBuy0¢150
1 mo. agoBuy100¢33
1 mo. agoBuy0¢33
1 mo. agoBuy100¢40
1 mo. agoBuy0¢40
1 mo. agoBuy100¢135
1 mo. agoBuy0¢135

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.