Next Prime Minister of Romania? odds
Live implied probabilities across 38 outcomes · $5.3M traded · updated 3 days ago
Resolves Jan 1, 2028
Luca Niculescu leads at 91 % · biggest 24h move: Dan Motreanu −0.5 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Luca Niculescu91 %▲ +0.2%$337.9K
- 2Ilie Bolojan1 %▲ +0.1%$243K
- 3Alexandru Nazare1 %▲ +0.4%$433.6K
- 4Sorin Grindeanu1 %▲ +0.2%$693.9K
- 5George Simion1 %▲ +0.3%$98.5K
- 6Victor Ponta0 %▲ +0.2%$103.5K
- 7Alexandru Rogobete0 %▼ −0.1%$115.6K
- 8Dragoș Pîslaru0 %—$104.2K
- 9Traian Basescu0 %—$100.4K
- 10Eugen Tomac0 %—$363.7K
- 11Siegfried Mureșan0 %—$261.1K
- 12Mircea Geoană0 %▼ −0.1%$74.1K
Show all 38 outcomesShow fewer
- 13Sebastian Burduja0 %—$74.8K
- 14Cătălin Drulă0 %—$62.3K
- 15Dacian Cioloș0 %▼ −0.1%$71.8K
- 16Emil Boc0 %—$65.4K
- 17Raluca Turcan0 %—$57.4K
- 18Lucian Croitoru0 %▼ −0.1%$92.2K
- 19Nicolae Ciucă0 %▼ −0.1%$66.2K
- 20Leonardo Badea0 %▲ +0.1%$71K
- 21Mugur Isărescu0 %▼ −0.1%$69.8K
- 22Anca Dragu0 %▼ −0.1%$79.5K
- 23Lucian Isar0 %▼ −0.1%$72.2K
- 24Cătălin Predoiu0 %—$186.2K
- 25Marcel Ciolacu0 %▼ −0.1%$67.6K
- 26Alexandru Rafila0 %—$72.9K
- 27Ionuț Dumitru0 %—$84.9K
- 28Elena Lasconi0 %—$89.7K
- 29Vasile Dîncu0 %▼ −0.1%$78K
- 30Dominic Fritz0 %▼ −0.1%$77.4K
- 31Delia Velculescu0 %▼ −0.1%$122.7K
- 32Hunor Kelemen0 %▼ −0.1%$113.3K
- 33Calin Georgescu0 %▼ −0.2%$84.6K
- 34Radu Burnete0 %▼ −0.4%$131.7K
- 35Șerban Matei0 %▼ −0.1%$112.4K
- 36Dan Motreanu0 %▼ −0.5%$109.9K
- 37Ciprian Ciucu0 %—$72.6K
- 38Adrian Veștea0 %▼ −0.1%$223.1K
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Next Prime Minister of Romania??
- Luca Niculescu is the current favourite at 91 %, ahead of 37 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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