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Updated 1 day ago

Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Politics

96 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +1.5%24h▲ +34.0%1W

Yes 96¢No 4¢

Total volume

$408.8K

24h vol.

$5.5K

1w vol.

$224.8K

1m vol.

$408.8K

Liquidity

$31K

Bid / Ask

96¢ / 97¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

97¢

Start date

May 5, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢

Bids (buy)Size

96¢$216

96¢$225

95¢$111

95¢$154

95¢$538

95¢$1,200

94¢$1,000

94¢$5,154

94¢$321

93¢$202

Asks (sell)Size

97¢$362

97¢$875

97¢$550

97¢$440

97¢$500

98¢$517

98¢$1,200

98¢$400

98¢$52

98¢$1,450

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 47%Sells 53%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
1 day ago	Sell	3¢	880
1 day ago	Buy	3¢	225
1 day ago	Buy	3¢	5
1 day ago	Sell	97¢	214
1 day ago	Buy	3¢	437
1 day ago	Buy	4¢	246
1 day ago	Sell	4¢	32
1 day ago	Buy	96¢	214
1 day ago	Buy	4¢	373
1 day ago	Sell	4¢	34
1 day ago	Sell	4¢	339
1 day ago	Buy	4¢	1,200
1 day ago	Sell	4¢	377
1 day ago	Sell	4¢	792
1 day ago	Sell	4¢	31
1 day ago	Sell	5¢	333
1 day ago	Sell	95¢	333
1 day ago	Sell	95¢	5
1 day ago	Sell	5¢	5
1 day ago	Sell	95¢	3
1 day ago	Sell	5¢	3
1 day ago	Sell	5¢	145
1 day ago	Sell	95¢	145
1 day ago	Buy	95¢	1
1 day ago	Sell	95¢	1
2 days ago	Sell	5¢	9
2 days ago	Sell	95¢	9
2 days ago	Buy	95¢	20
2 days ago	Sell	95¢	20
2 days ago	Sell	6¢	20
2 days ago	Sell	94¢	20
2 days ago	Sell	6¢	5
2 days ago	Sell	94¢	5
2 days ago	Buy	6¢	16
2 days ago	Sell	6¢	16
2 days ago	Sell	94¢	160
2 days ago	Buy	94¢	60
2 days ago	Sell	6¢	100
2 days ago	Buy	5¢	100
2 days ago	Buy	95¢	100
2 days ago	Buy	5¢	100
2 days ago	Buy	95¢	100
2 days ago	Sell	4¢	266
2 days ago	Buy	4¢	134
2 days ago	Buy	4¢	132
2 days ago	Buy	5¢	2,573
2 days ago	Buy	95¢	30
2 days ago	Sell	5¢	2,466
2 days ago	Buy	95¢	47
2 days ago	Sell	5¢	30

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