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Updated 1 mo. ago

Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?
2 %
chance
Next James Bond actor?
24 outcomes- No Bond chosen36 %
- Jack Lowden27 %
- Callum Turner18 %
- Jack Barton5 %
- Jacob Elordi4 %
- Josh O'Connor3 %
- Jack O'Connell2 %
- Paul Mescal2 %
- Tom Francis1 %
- Harris Dickinson1 %
- Tom Hardy1 %
- Henry Cavill0 %
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson0 %
- Timothee Chalamet0 %
- Richard Madden0 %
- Theo James0 %
- James Norton0 %
- Pierce Brosnan0 %
- Jonathan Bailey0 %
- Nicholas Galitzine0 %
- Tom Holland0 %
- Michael B Jordan0 %
- Robert James-Collier0 %
- Tom Blyth0 %
Total volume
$22K
24h vol.
$1.1K
1w vol.
$1.2K
1m vol.
$12.9K
Liquidity
$6.7K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 3¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
May 18, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 67 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 67 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 120 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 120 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 33 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 33 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 932 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 76 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 350 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 500 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 36 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 36 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 647 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 647 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 135 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 135 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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