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Updated 1 hr. ago

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No one announced as next James Bond?

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36 %

chance

▼ −0.3%1h▼ −7.6%24h▲ +6.4%1W
Yes 36¢No 65¢

Total volume

$582.9K

24h vol.

$7.6K

1w vol.

$31.7K

1m vol.

$139.7K

Liquidity

$15.2K

Bid / Ask

35¢ / 36¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

35¢

Start date

May 18, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
35¢$100
34¢$95
33¢$50
32¢$51
32¢$50
31¢$55
28¢$5
28¢$5
28¢$78
26¢$10
Asks (sell)Size
35¢$54
36¢$95
37¢$234
37¢$44
37¢$85
38¢$357
40¢$50
41¢$84
43¢$58
46¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 63%Sells 37%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoBuy65¢1,000
2 hr. agoSell65¢1,000
2 hr. agoBuy65¢17
2 hr. agoSell65¢17
2 hr. agoBuy65¢224
2 hr. agoBuy35¢224
3 hr. agoSell35¢76
3 hr. agoBuy35¢76
6 hr. agoSell36¢50
6 hr. agoSell64¢50
6 hr. agoBuy63¢721
6 hr. agoBuy37¢75
6 hr. agoBuy37¢76
6 hr. agoBuy37¢50
6 hr. agoSell63¢50
6 hr. agoBuy37¢94
6 hr. agoBuy38¢357
6 hr. agoSell62¢11
6 hr. agoBuy38¢9
9 hr. agoBuy40¢3
9 hr. agoBuy60¢3
17 hr. agoSell62¢11
17 hr. agoSell38¢11
17 hr. agoSell38¢11
17 hr. agoSell62¢11
17 hr. agoSell38¢37
17 hr. agoSell62¢37
17 hr. agoSell62¢37
17 hr. agoSell38¢5
17 hr. agoSell38¢32
17 hr. agoSell38¢60
17 hr. agoSell62¢47
17 hr. agoBuy38¢13
17 hr. agoSell62¢60
17 hr. agoSell38¢60
17 hr. agoSell38¢32
17 hr. agoBuy38¢32
17 hr. agoSell62¢32
17 hr. agoSell38¢32
17 hr. agoBuy38¢35
17 hr. agoSell38¢35
17 hr. agoSell62¢35
17 hr. agoBuy62¢35
17 hr. agoBuy38¢55
17 hr. agoSell38¢55
17 hr. agoBuy38¢55
17 hr. agoBuy62¢55
17 hr. agoSell62¢45
17 hr. agoBuy62¢45
17 hr. agoBuy38¢44

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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