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Updated 1 hr. ago

No one announced as next James Bond?
36 %
chance
Next James Bond actor?
24 outcomes- No Bond chosen36 %
- Jack Lowden27 %
- Callum Turner18 %
- Jack Barton5 %
- Jacob Elordi4 %
- Josh O'Connor3 %
- Jack O'Connell2 %
- Paul Mescal2 %
- Tom Francis1 %
- Harris Dickinson1 %
- Tom Hardy1 %
- Henry Cavill0 %
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson0 %
- Timothee Chalamet0 %
- Richard Madden0 %
- Theo James0 %
- James Norton0 %
- Pierce Brosnan0 %
- Jonathan Bailey0 %
- Nicholas Galitzine0 %
- Tom Holland0 %
- Michael B Jordan0 %
- Robert James-Collier0 %
- Tom Blyth0 %
Total volume
$582.9K
24h vol.
$7.6K
1w vol.
$31.7K
1m vol.
$139.7K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Bid / Ask
35¢ / 36¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
35¢
Start date
May 18, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 17 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 17 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 224 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 224 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 76 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 76 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 50 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 50 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 721 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 75 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 76 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 50 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 50 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 94 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 357 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 11 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 9 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 3 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 3 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 11 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 11 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 11 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 11 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 37 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 37 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 37 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 5 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 32 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 60 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 47 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 13 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 60 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 60 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 32 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 32 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 32 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 32 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 35 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 35 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 35 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 35 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 55 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 55 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 55 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 55 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 45 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 45 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 44 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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