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Updated 1 mo. ago

Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?

Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?

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1 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −2.4%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Total volume

$26.5K

24h vol.

$8

1w vol.

$8

1m vol.

$7.8K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

May 18, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$10
0¢$320
0¢$333
0¢$2,287
0¢$8,144
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$60
4¢$100
5¢$78
10¢$350
12¢$40
15¢$5
17¢$40
17¢$45
18¢$45
18¢$45

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 66%Sells 34%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell0¢50
1 mo. agoBuy0¢50
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢8
1 mo. agoBuy0¢8
1 mo. agoBuy99¢30
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy99¢30
1 mo. agoBuy1¢30
1 mo. agoBuy99¢40
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoSell1¢16
1 mo. agoBuy1¢16
1 mo. agoBuy99¢33
1 mo. agoBuy1¢13
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy99¢7
1 mo. agoBuy1¢5
1 mo. agoSell99¢2
1 mo. agoBuy99¢5
1 mo. agoBuy1¢5
1 mo. agoBuy99¢10
1 mo. agoSell99¢8
1 mo. agoSell99¢2
1 mo. agoSell1¢0
1 mo. agoSell99¢0
1 mo. agoSell1¢0
1 mo. agoSell99¢0
1 mo. agoSell1¢3
1 mo. agoSell99¢3
1 mo. agoSell5¢4
1 mo. agoBuy5¢4
1 mo. agoBuy5¢15
1 mo. agoSell5¢15
1 mo. agoBuy5¢200
1 mo. agoSell5¢185
1 mo. agoBuy95¢5
1 mo. agoBuy95¢10
1 mo. agoBuy5¢43
1 mo. agoBuy95¢43
1 mo. agoBuy3¢398
1 mo. agoSell3¢197
1 mo. agoSell3¢121
1 mo. agoBuy97¢50
1 mo. agoSell3¢30
1 mo. agoBuy99¢28

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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