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Updated 1 mo. ago

Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?

Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?

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5 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +1.5%24h▲ +0.6%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Next James Bond actor?

24 outcomes
See all 24 outcomes

Total volume

$66.1K

24h vol.

$279.888

1w vol.

$1K

1m vol.

$24.5K

Liquidity

$4.6K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 6¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

May 18, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$9
6¢$100
6¢$450
5¢$30
5¢$52
3¢$5
3¢$225
3¢$1,000
2¢$275
2¢$1,000
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$46
7¢$50
8¢$30
8¢$10
8¢$51
10¢$146
10¢$582
11¢$37
13¢$51
15¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 71%Sells 29%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy94¢10
1 mo. agoBuy6¢10
1 mo. agoBuy94¢8
1 mo. agoSell94¢1
1 mo. agoBuy6¢7
1 mo. agoBuy94¢10
1 mo. agoBuy6¢10
1 mo. agoSell6¢26
1 mo. agoBuy6¢26
1 mo. agoSell6¢24
1 mo. agoBuy6¢8
1 mo. agoBuy7¢8
1 mo. agoBuy7¢8
1 mo. agoBuy93¢119
1 mo. agoBuy7¢50
1 mo. agoBuy7¢50
1 mo. agoBuy7¢19
1 mo. agoSell7¢16
1 mo. agoBuy7¢16
1 mo. agoBuy93¢33
1 mo. agoBuy7¢33
1 mo. agoBuy93¢40
1 mo. agoBuy7¢32
1 mo. agoBuy7¢8
1 mo. agoBuy94¢5
1 mo. agoBuy7¢5
1 mo. agoBuy94¢10
1 mo. agoBuy7¢10
1 mo. agoBuy94¢7
1 mo. agoBuy7¢7
1 mo. agoBuy6¢116
1 mo. agoSell7¢50
1 mo. agoBuy94¢5
1 mo. agoBuy94¢10
1 mo. agoSell6¢51
1 mo. agoBuy6¢85
1 mo. agoSell6¢85
1 mo. agoSell98¢96
1 mo. agoSell2¢46
1 mo. agoSell2¢50
1 mo. agoSell1¢41
1 mo. agoBuy1¢41
1 mo. agoSell4¢40
1 mo. agoBuy4¢40
1 mo. agoSell7¢130
1 mo. agoBuy7¢30
1 mo. agoSell93¢100
1 mo. agoSell7¢50
1 mo. agoBuy7¢50
1 mo. agoBuy91¢1,095

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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