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Updated 1 mo. ago

Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?

Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?

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1 %

chance

▲ +0.6%24h▲ +0.6%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Next James Bond actor?

24 outcomes
See all 24 outcomes

Total volume

$23.4K

24h vol.

$1.2K

1w vol.

$1.2K

1m vol.

$8.4K

Liquidity

$7.4K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

May 18, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$6
0¢$5,654
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$301
1¢$100
1¢$5
1¢$26
1¢$20
2¢$40
3¢$40
3¢$40
4¢$60
4¢$40

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 68%Sells 32%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢8
1 mo. agoBuy0¢8
1 mo. agoBuy100¢67
1 mo. agoBuy0¢67
1 mo. agoSell0¢16
1 mo. agoBuy0¢16
1 mo. agoBuy100¢33
1 mo. agoBuy0¢33
1 mo. agoBuy100¢40
1 mo. agoBuy0¢40
1 mo. agoBuy100¢120
1 mo. agoBuy0¢98
1 mo. agoBuy0¢22
1 mo. agoBuy0¢389
1 mo. agoSell0¢365
1 mo. agoSell0¢24
1 mo. agoSell0¢50
1 mo. agoBuy0¢50
1 mo. agoBuy100¢7
1 mo. agoBuy0¢7
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢5
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5
1 mo. agoSell0¢74
1 mo. agoBuy0¢74
1 mo. agoSell0¢0
1 mo. agoBuy0¢0
1 mo. agoSell99¢2
1 mo. agoSell1¢2
1 mo. agoBuy1¢286
1 mo. agoSell1¢272
1 mo. agoBuy99¢13
1 mo. agoBuy100¢28
1 mo. agoBuy0¢28
1 mo. agoBuy100¢8
1 mo. agoBuy0¢8
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢36
1 mo. agoBuy0¢36
1 mo. agoBuy100¢40
1 mo. agoBuy0¢32
1 mo. agoBuy0¢8

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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