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Updated 15 min. ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Economy
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Fed Decision in October?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$6.6M

24h vol.

$221K

1w vol.

$2.2M

1m vol.

$5.3M

Liquidity

$1.2M

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jun 17, 2026

End date

Oct 29, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$800,817
0¢$1,550,876
0¢$2,329,362
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$665,396
1¢$131,834
1¢$101,847
1¢$280
1¢$11,500
1¢$144,643
1¢$2,000
1¢$1,000
1¢$100
1¢$100

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✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 54%Sells 46%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
20 min. agoSell0¢1,336
20 min. agoBuy0¢1,336
20 min. agoSell0¢1,924
20 min. agoBuy0¢1,924
20 min. agoSell0¢2,205
20 min. agoBuy0¢2,205
20 min. agoSell0¢2,636
20 min. agoBuy0¢2,636
20 min. agoSell0¢1,735
20 min. agoBuy0¢1,735
20 min. agoSell0¢2,009
20 min. agoBuy0¢2,009
20 min. agoSell0¢1,905
20 min. agoBuy0¢1,905
20 min. agoSell0¢1,018
20 min. agoBuy0¢1,018
20 min. agoSell0¢28,409
20 min. agoBuy0¢28,409
20 min. agoBuy0¢10,418
20 min. agoSell0¢10,418
25 min. agoBuy0¢268
25 min. agoSell0¢268
31 min. agoSell0¢250
31 min. agoBuy0¢250
34 min. agoBuy100¢39
34 min. agoBuy0¢39
35 min. agoBuy100¢500
35 min. agoBuy0¢500
46 min. agoBuy100¢700
46 min. agoBuy0¢700
56 min. agoBuy100¢147
56 min. agoBuy0¢147
1 hr. agoBuy100¢122
1 hr. agoBuy0¢122
1 hr. agoSell0¢4,011
1 hr. agoBuy0¢4,011
2 hr. agoBuy100¢700
2 hr. agoBuy0¢700
2 hr. agoSell100¢4
2 hr. agoSell0¢4
2 hr. agoBuy100¢2,000
2 hr. agoBuy0¢2,000
2 hr. agoBuy100¢3
2 hr. agoBuy0¢3
2 hr. agoBuy100¢2,300
2 hr. agoBuy0¢2,300
3 hr. agoSell0¢1,672
3 hr. agoBuy0¢1,672
3 hr. agoSell0¢15,965
3 hr. agoBuy0¢15,965

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