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Updated 14 min. ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Economy
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.2%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Fed Decision in October?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$8.3M

24h vol.

$741.1K

1w vol.

$2.2M

1m vol.

$6.8M

Liquidity

$490.9K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jun 18, 2026

End date

Oct 29, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$900,820
0¢$2,250,092
0¢$332,450
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$33,570
1¢$147,865
1¢$21,169
1¢$13,095
1¢$6,405
1¢$1,111
1¢$52,745
1¢$1,500
1¢$2,618
1¢$4,100

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✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 76%Sells 24%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
20 min. agoSell0¢1,336
20 min. agoBuy0¢1,336
20 min. agoSell0¢1,924
20 min. agoBuy0¢1,924
20 min. agoSell0¢2,205
20 min. agoBuy0¢2,205
20 min. agoSell0¢2,636
20 min. agoBuy0¢2,636
20 min. agoSell0¢1,735
20 min. agoBuy0¢1,735
20 min. agoSell0¢2,009
20 min. agoBuy0¢2,009
20 min. agoSell0¢1,905
20 min. agoBuy0¢1,905
20 min. agoSell0¢1,018
20 min. agoBuy0¢1,018
20 min. agoSell0¢28,409
20 min. agoBuy0¢28,409
27 min. agoSell0¢167
27 min. agoBuy0¢167
34 min. agoBuy100¢132
34 min. agoBuy0¢132
35 min. agoBuy0¢440
35 min. agoSell0¢440
35 min. agoBuy0¢1,000
35 min. agoSell0¢1,000
36 min. agoBuy100¢2
36 min. agoBuy0¢2
36 min. agoBuy100¢4
36 min. agoBuy0¢4
36 min. agoBuy100¢4
36 min. agoBuy0¢4
36 min. agoBuy100¢1
36 min. agoBuy0¢1
36 min. agoSell100¢20
36 min. agoSell0¢20
36 min. agoSell100¢15
36 min. agoSell0¢15
36 min. agoBuy0¢477,440
36 min. agoSell0¢5,648
36 min. agoSell0¢16,273
36 min. agoSell0¢16,273
36 min. agoBuy100¢60
36 min. agoBuy100¢50
36 min. agoBuy100¢111
36 min. agoBuy100¢113
36 min. agoSell0¢35,890
36 min. agoSell0¢230
36 min. agoSell0¢30,456
36 min. agoSell0¢15,116

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