Skip to content

← Dashboard · Tech

Updated 25 min. ago

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Tech
Log in for watchlist

28 %

chance

▲ +3.0%1h▲ +3.5%24h▲ +2.0%1W
Yes 28¢No 72¢

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

19 outcomes
See all 19 outcomes

Total volume

$616.1K

24h vol.

$9.6K

1w vol.

$100.2K

1m vol.

$550.3K

Liquidity

$35.2K

Bid / Ask

27¢ / 30¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

28¢

Start date

Aug 13, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
27¢$425
26¢$49
25¢$713
24¢$1,315
23¢$1,668
22¢$1,205
21¢$200
20¢$100
15¢$100
12¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
29¢$44
30¢$5,665
31¢$6,362
32¢$3,058
33¢$1,981
34¢$3,144
35¢$2,668
36¢$1,674
37¢$5,377
38¢$700

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 58%Sells 42%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
35 min. agoSell71¢40
35 min. agoBuy71¢40
53 min. agoBuy28¢174
53 min. agoSell28¢110
53 min. agoSell28¢64
53 min. agoBuy27¢1,411
53 min. agoBuy73¢230
53 min. agoBuy73¢249
53 min. agoBuy73¢100
53 min. agoBuy73¢100
53 min. agoSell27¢660
53 min. agoBuy74¢12
53 min. agoSell26¢60
53 min. agoBuy28¢104
53 min. agoSell28¢104
53 min. agoBuy28¢32
53 min. agoSell28¢32
1 hr. agoBuy26¢20
1 hr. agoSell26¢20
2 hr. agoSell26¢20
2 hr. agoBuy26¢10
2 hr. agoBuy26¢10
2 hr. agoSell27¢40
2 hr. agoBuy27¢40
2 hr. agoBuy27¢4
2 hr. agoBuy73¢4
2 hr. agoSell24¢25
2 hr. agoBuy24¢25
2 hr. agoBuy25¢209
2 hr. agoSell25¢209
2 hr. agoSell24¢16
2 hr. agoBuy24¢16
3 hr. agoSell75¢12
3 hr. agoSell25¢12
3 hr. agoSell25¢73
3 hr. agoBuy25¢53
3 hr. agoBuy25¢10
3 hr. agoBuy25¢10
3 hr. agoSell25¢1,597
3 hr. agoBuy25¢1,171
3 hr. agoBuy25¢42
3 hr. agoBuy26¢209
3 hr. agoBuy26¢10
3 hr. agoBuy26¢10
3 hr. agoSell73¢100
3 hr. agoSell73¢55
3 hr. agoBuy28¢18
3 hr. agoSell28¢15
3 hr. agoSell28¢3
3 hr. agoBuy28¢128

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.