Skip to content

← Dashboard · Tech

Updated 25 min. ago

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Tech
Log in for watchlist

70 %

chance

▼ −0.9%1h▼ −4.1%24h▼ −1.7%1W
Yes 70¢No 30¢

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

19 outcomes
See all 19 outcomes

Total volume

$640.9K

24h vol.

$25.1K

1w vol.

$160.7K

1m vol.

$606.9K

Liquidity

$13.1K

Bid / Ask

70¢ / 70¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

70¢

Start date

Aug 13, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
71¢$425
70¢$888
70¢$271
70¢$296
70¢$373
70¢$2,000
69¢$500
69¢$1,622
68¢$100
68¢$400
Asks (sell)Size
71¢$800
71¢$360
71¢$100
71¢$312
71¢$100
72¢$310
72¢$10
72¢$200
72¢$75
72¢$230

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 60%Sells 40%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoBuy29¢1,147
1 hr. agoBuy71¢462
1 hr. agoBuy71¢200
1 hr. agoBuy71¢110
1 hr. agoBuy71¢14
1 hr. agoSell29¢251
1 hr. agoBuy71¢10
1 hr. agoSell29¢100
1 hr. agoBuy30¢355
1 hr. agoSell30¢155
1 hr. agoBuy71¢200
1 hr. agoSell71¢2,000
1 hr. agoBuy71¢1,053
1 hr. agoBuy71¢355
1 hr. agoBuy71¢100
1 hr. agoBuy71¢10
1 hr. agoBuy71¢40
1 hr. agoBuy72¢200
1 hr. agoSell28¢33
1 hr. agoBuy72¢100
1 hr. agoBuy72¢9
1 hr. agoSell28¢100
1 hr. agoBuy30¢196
1 hr. agoSell30¢158
1 hr. agoBuy71¢38
2 hr. agoBuy73¢6
2 hr. agoSell73¢1
2 hr. agoBuy27¢5
2 hr. agoBuy71¢308
2 hr. agoSell71¢200
2 hr. agoBuy29¢100
2 hr. agoSell71¢8
3 hr. agoSell29¢40
3 hr. agoSell71¢40
3 hr. agoBuy71¢10
3 hr. agoSell71¢10
3 hr. agoSell29¢140
3 hr. agoSell71¢42
3 hr. agoSell71¢98
4 hr. agoBuy71¢2
4 hr. agoSell71¢2
4 hr. agoBuy71¢85
4 hr. agoSell71¢85
5 hr. agoSell71¢2
5 hr. agoBuy71¢2
5 hr. agoBuy71¢2
5 hr. agoSell71¢2
5 hr. agoBuy71¢14
5 hr. agoSell71¢14
5 hr. agoBuy29¢17

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.