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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Tech
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

19 outcomes
See all 19 outcomes

Total volume

$5.5K

24h vol.

$1.7K

1w vol.

$2.7K

1m vol.

$4.2K

Liquidity

$78.2K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Aug 13, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$29,182
0¢$500
0¢$848
0¢$225
1¢$500
1¢$5
1¢$156
2¢$40
2¢$215
2¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 76%Sells 24%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy0¢49
3 wk. agoSell0¢49
3 wk. agoBuy0¢48
3 wk. agoSell0¢48
3 wk. agoBuy0¢100
3 wk. agoSell0¢100
2 mo. agoSell100¢41
2 mo. agoSell0¢41
2 mo. agoBuy100¢3
2 mo. agoBuy0¢3
2 mo. agoBuy100¢97
2 mo. agoBuy0¢3
2 mo. agoBuy0¢94
2 mo. agoBuy100¢110
2 mo. agoBuy0¢56
2 mo. agoBuy0¢54
2 mo. agoBuy100¢14
2 mo. agoBuy0¢14
2 mo. agoBuy100¢40
2 mo. agoBuy0¢40
2 mo. agoBuy100¢40
2 mo. agoBuy0¢40
2 mo. agoSell0¢283
2 mo. agoBuy0¢283
2 mo. agoBuy100¢20
2 mo. agoBuy0¢20
2 mo. agoBuy100¢20
2 mo. agoBuy0¢20
2 mo. agoBuy100¢8
2 mo. agoBuy0¢8
2 mo. agoBuy100¢235
2 mo. agoBuy0¢235
2 mo. agoSell0¢69
2 mo. agoBuy0¢54
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoSell0¢16
2 mo. agoBuy0¢16
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy100¢45
2 mo. agoBuy0¢33
2 mo. agoBuy0¢12
2 mo. agoBuy100¢40
2 mo. agoBuy0¢40
2 mo. agoBuy100¢48
2 mo. agoBuy0¢48
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy100¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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