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Updated 40 min. ago

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Tech
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1 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.2%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

19 outcomes
See all 19 outcomes

Total volume

$390.3K

24h vol.

$12.8K

1w vol.

$88.6K

1m vol.

$357.1K

Liquidity

$45.2K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Aug 13, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$37
1¢$40
1¢$433
0¢$4,230
0¢$54,466
0¢$41,486
0¢$68,474
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$40
1¢$1,898
1¢$20
1¢$206
1¢$511
2¢$1,243
2¢$49
2¢$619
2¢$200
2¢$300

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 65%Sells 35%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
46 min. agoSell1¢83
46 min. agoSell99¢63
46 min. agoBuy1¢20
2 hr. agoBuy1¢130
2 hr. agoBuy99¢30
2 hr. agoSell1¢100
4 hr. agoBuy1¢2,287
4 hr. agoSell1¢212
4 hr. agoSell1¢250
4 hr. agoSell1¢1,412
4 hr. agoSell1¢20
4 hr. agoBuy99¢10
4 hr. agoBuy99¢263
4 hr. agoSell1¢100
4 hr. agoSell1¢10
4 hr. agoSell1¢10
4 hr. agoBuy1¢200
4 hr. agoSell1¢90
4 hr. agoSell1¢100
4 hr. agoBuy100¢10
6 hr. agoBuy1¢170
6 hr. agoBuy99¢150
6 hr. agoBuy100¢10
6 hr. agoBuy100¢10
6 hr. agoBuy1¢193
6 hr. agoSell1¢37
6 hr. agoSell1¢10
6 hr. agoBuy100¢10
6 hr. agoBuy100¢135
8 hr. agoBuy1¢200
8 hr. agoBuy100¢200
12 hr. agoBuy1¢200
12 hr. agoBuy100¢11
12 hr. agoBuy100¢60
12 hr. agoBuy100¢20
12 hr. agoSell1¢79
12 hr. agoSell1¢20
12 hr. agoSell1¢10
14 hr. agoSell100¢100
14 hr. agoBuy100¢100
14 hr. agoBuy100¢174
14 hr. agoBuy0¢174
14 hr. agoBuy100¢100
14 hr. agoBuy0¢38
14 hr. agoBuy0¢62
14 hr. agoBuy100¢215
14 hr. agoBuy0¢79
14 hr. agoBuy0¢20
14 hr. agoSell100¢101
14 hr. agoBuy0¢15

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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