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Updated 1 mo. ago
Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?
1 %
chance
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
16 outcomesTotal volume
$16.2K
24h vol.
$199.38
1w vol.
$988.93
1m vol.
$2K
Liquidity
$6K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 2¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Aug 19, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 43 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 43 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 49 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 49 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 267 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 267 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 60 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 60 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 84 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 84 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 300 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 168 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 27 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 29 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 77 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 16 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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