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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?

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13 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −5.0%24h▼ −8.3%1W
Yes 13¢No 87¢

Total volume

$53.5K

24h vol.

$1.1K

1w vol.

$5.4K

1m vol.

$36.7K

Liquidity

$9.6K

Bid / Ask

11¢ / 15¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

11¢

Start date

Aug 19, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
20¢$46
20¢$50
19¢$56
19¢$180
19¢$213
19¢$446
19¢$90
16¢$250
16¢$44
15¢$30
Asks (sell)Size
23¢$30
23¢$100
23¢$144
23¢$300
23¢$210
24¢$156
24¢$80
26¢$68
26¢$300
30¢$216

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 65%Sells 35%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoBuy77¢30
2 wk. agoBuy23¢20
2 wk. agoSell77¢10
2 wk. agoBuy77¢63
2 wk. agoSell77¢63
2 wk. agoBuy77¢10
2 wk. agoSell77¢10
2 wk. agoBuy76¢4
2 wk. agoSell76¢4
2 wk. agoBuy76¢50
2 wk. agoSell76¢46
2 wk. agoSell76¢4
2 wk. agoBuy76¢65
2 wk. agoSell76¢65
2 wk. agoBuy75¢38
2 wk. agoSell75¢19
2 wk. agoSell75¢19
2 wk. agoBuy75¢5
2 wk. agoSell75¢5
2 wk. agoBuy75¢10
2 wk. agoSell75¢10
2 wk. agoSell74¢25
2 wk. agoSell27¢25
2 wk. agoBuy75¢39
2 wk. agoSell75¢39
2 wk. agoBuy75¢57
2 wk. agoSell75¢46
2 wk. agoSell75¢11
2 wk. agoBuy75¢10
2 wk. agoSell75¢10
2 wk. agoBuy73¢11
2 wk. agoSell73¢4
2 wk. agoSell73¢6
2 wk. agoSell70¢2
2 wk. agoSell30¢2
2 wk. agoSell70¢52
2 wk. agoSell30¢52
2 wk. agoBuy29¢6
2 wk. agoBuy71¢6
2 wk. agoBuy28¢215
2 wk. agoBuy71¢6
2 wk. agoBuy72¢59
2 wk. agoBuy72¢50
2 wk. agoBuy72¢50
2 wk. agoBuy72¢50
2 wk. agoBuy29¢6
2 wk. agoBuy71¢6
2 wk. agoBuy29¢57
2 wk. agoBuy71¢52
2 wk. agoBuy71¢5

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A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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